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Greener Journal of Agricultural
Sciences Vol. 9(2), pp. 199-207, 2019 ISSN: 2276-7770 Copyright ©2019, the copyright of
this article is retained by the author(s) DOI Link: http://doi.org/10.15580/GJAS.2019.2.040219063 http://gjournals.org/GJAS |
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Poverty
Analysis of Maize Farming Households in Oyo State, Nigeria
Department of Agricultural Economics,
University of Ibadan
Emails: bossytola@ gmail. com, idowufasakin2010@ gmail. com, popoolaoladeji01@ gmail. com and bislaj05@
gmail. com
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ARTICLE INFO |
ABSTRACT |
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Article
No.:040219062 Type: Research DOI: 10.15580/GJAS.2019.2.040219063 |
One of the
problems cited as constraining the production of maize in Nigeria is
stagnant production technology among Nigerian farming community, majority of
who are small-scale producers. Thus, this study examined the poverty status
as well as analysed the factors affecting poverty profile of maize farming
households in Oyo State. Primary data were obtained from 180 maize farmers
by multistage random sampling with the aid of well-structured questionnaire
and interview schedule. The data were analysed using descriptive statistics,
Foster-Greer Thorbecke index and probit regression model. The results of descriptive
statistics revealed that 68.3% of maize farmers were male with majority
(56.1%) between 41 and 60 years of age who were married (86.6%) with
relatively large household members. The results also showed that 76.1% of
them used their personal land either acquired by inheritance or bought and 79.9%
had formal education. The results of FGT analysis showed that poverty
incidence was 35.2%, poverty depth was 16.1% and poverty severity was 10.9%.
Meanwhile, probit regression model results
revealed that household size, farmer’s expenditure, age, gender, marital
status and improved technology were the factors affecting the poverty
profile of the maize farming households. The study therefore recommended
that farmers in the study area could reduce their poverty depth by
controlling the number of child births, increase revenue generated from
maize farm and adoption of new/improved technology. |
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Submitted: 02/04/2019 Accepted: 05/04/2019 Published: |
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*Corresponding
Author Ibitola
O.R. E-mail:
bossytola@ gmail. com |
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Keywords: |
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1.0. INTRODUCTION
Agricultural
sectors in less developed countries like Nigeria are widely considered to play
a vital role in the eradication of poverty. This may be true of Nigeria where a
larger proportion of the population lives in the rural areas and depends mainly
on primary production (Oladeebo and Ezekiel, 2006).
Higher agricultural productivity affects family incomes and nutrition, which in
turn supports labour productivity through better
health and well-being of the people. Poor workers’ health on the other hand
will result in the loss of working days or reduces their working capacity,
leading to lower output (Croppenstedt and Muller,
2000).
Poverty
on the other hand is likely to affect the capacity of the farm households to
avail themselves of better health and education facilities; to purchase inputs
at the proper time; to acquire other farm assets; to adopt new technologies and
resources etc. The low level of these factors in turn affects agricultural
productivity adversely. From these, poverty is not only an effect but also a
cause of low agricultural productivity (Oladeebo,
2012).
Recently, production of maize in Nigeria has been
declining due to low input usage. For example, in 2000 production was 6491MT as
compared to 6515MT in 1999. Rapid population growth and increased pressure on
land have led to a reduction in fallow periods to the threshold needed for
sustainability (FAO, 2002). To compound the situation, essential inputs such as
fertilizer, herbicides and pesticides were often scarce and costly at a time
when economic reforms have compelled reductions in farm inputs subsidies. Maize
is a heavy feeder that requires sustainable amount of nutrients uptake. In the
savannah region, the enormous potentials for maize production can be realised
only with the use of high levels of fertilizer, improved seeds, hectarage expansion and adequate weed control. With
adequate supply of these inputs and the provision of adequate storage
facilities, the rapid expansion of maize could be sustained
In Nigeria, Maize is generally believed to be
cultivated by small scaled farmers with low resources (Ezebuiro
et al., 2008). As a result, it
also plays a major role in the quest to alleviate the food crisis thereby
alleviating poverty. Nigeria remains a country with high levels of
poverty. The last official estimate from 2009-10, was 53.5% based on the
international poverty line of $1.90 per person per day (2011PPP). By 2016, the
poverty rate is projected to have fallen to 48.4%, or 90million persons.
However, due to slow growth, the poverty has been on increasing trend (World
Bank, 2018). Poverty is a spate afflicting people all over the
world and it is considered one of the symptoms or manifestations of
underdevelopment (Amao et al., 2013). “Poverty is a situation where people have unreasonably
low living standard conditions when compared with others; cannot afford to buy
necessities, and experience real deprivation and hardship in everyday life” (McClelland,
2000). Poverty is the main cause of hunger and malnutrition, which are
aggravated by rapid population growth, policy inadequacies and inconsistencies
or weak administrative capabilities, unhealthy food storage and processing
techniques. Poverty in rural communities is related to poor physical facilities,
food insecurity, obsolete agricultural practices, poor nutritional value,
little access to savings and credit, general inability to educate children due
to high cost, irregular water supply and electricity as well as the inability
to cloth oneself (Amao et al., 2013). Despite the economic importance of maize to the
teeming populace in Nigeria, it has not been produced to meet food and
industrial needs of the country and this could be attributed to low
productivity from maize farms or that farmers have not adopted improved
technologies for maize production (Onuk et al., 2010). Additionally, other factors like price
fluctuation, diseases and pests, poor storage facilities have been associated
with low maize production in the country (Ojo, 2003). Furthermore, the extent to which poverty and productivity relates to a
shortfall in maize demand and supply in Nigeria is not clearly understood and
at the same time, the impact of factors that affect the productivity and
poverty level of the maize farming households. When rural farmers
lack access to knowledge and information that would help them achieve maximum
agricultural productivity, they are not only grope in the dark but are driven
to the urban centres in search of formal employment
as the only option for survival (Munyua, 2000). Thus, this study therefore carried out poverty profile of maize farming
households in Oyo State and relates poverty status with farmers’
productivity in Oyo State, Nigeria.
2.0.
Empirical and Literature Reviews
Aguibiade and Oke (2019) examined the poverty status and
factors affecting poverty profile of cassava farming households in Osun State. Foster-Greer-Thorbecke
index and Tobit regression model was used. The
results of FGT analysis showed that poverty incidence was 28.9%, poverty depth
was 5.3% and poverty severity was 1.5%. Meanwhile, Tobit
regression model results revealed that household size, farming experience and
revenue generated from cassava farms were factors affecting the poverty profile
of the farming households. The study therefore recommended that farmers in the
study area could reduce their poverty depth by controlling the number of child
births and increase revenue generated from cassava farm. Omoregbee et al., (2013) examined analysis of the effects of farmers’ characteristics
on poverty status in Delta State
using Foster, Greer and Thorbecke model and Logit regression analysis. The result of the Logit regression analysis showed that sex (0.574),
educational status (0.249) and farm size (-0.339) had significant influence on
poverty status of respondents. It was concluded that poverty status among
farmers in Delta south senatorial district is high with gender issues, poor
educational levels and small farm sizes accounting for the more for the high
poverty status. It was recommended that in developing poverty reduction programmes in the area, sex, educational attainment and
farm size of the people should be critically considered. Adepoju (2012) investigated the dynamics of
poverty in rural South West Nigeria (SWN) using regional panel data. Results
showed that 49.5 percent of the households were non-poor while 28.2 percent
were poor in both periods respectively. 22.3 percent of the households moved in
and out of poverty between the two periods indicating a higher level of chronic
poverty in rural South Western Nigeria. However, of the transient poor, while
6.8 percent exited poverty, a larger proportion (15.5 percent) moved into
poverty. The study also revealed an overlap between the determinants of chronic
and transient poverty as vulnerability aggravated both chronic and transient
poverty in the region by increasing the odds of remaining and moving into
poverty of poor and non-poor households respectively. Oleksiy
and Cem (2008) in their study showed that the factors
which make households move out of poverty are different from the factors which
make them fall back into poverty. The study used panel data analysis for
Tajikistan and showed that, in such a transitory economy, the mobility of
households from and into poverty is quite high.
Bigsten and Shimeles (2003) and Swanepoel(2005) analyzed the dynamics of poverty using spells and
component approach for ERHS 1994-1997. Results revealed that while most
households in the rural areas were transiently poor, factors such as age of the
head of the household, dependency ratio within the household greatly affected
the odds of moving into poverty. Similarly, the review work by Baulch and Hoddinott (2000) on
ten developing countries revealed that poverty in developing countries is more
of transient than being chronic.
From
the above literatures, it is evident that the class of decomposable poverty
measures of FGT was used in measuring poverty and the decomposition of poverty
was done using either the spells or the component approach. In this study, the
much simpler “spells approach” was adopted in decomposing poverty into its
chronic and transient components (McKay and Lawson, 2003) and the factors
associated with total, chronic and transient poverty were examined using the probit and multinomial logistic regression method
respectively. In addition, in the case of Africa, there are few studies of
poverty dynamics despite the rampant poverty in the region. This may be due to
the demanding nature of the data in analyzing the dynamics of poverty. Only few
countries (Cote d’Ivoire, Ethiopia, Egypt, South Africa, Uganda, Kenya, Ghana
and Zimbabwe) to the best of my knowledge have household-level panel data.
Therefore, this study will be quite an immeasurable contribution to the body of
knowledge on poverty dynamics in Nigeria and Africa as a whole.
3.0.
METHODOLOGY
3.1. Study
Area: The
study was carried out in Lagelu local government
area, Ibadan, Oyo State, Nigeria. It is one of the local governments created by
the Federal Military Government of Nigeria on 27th September, 1991.
Its headquarters is Iyana-Offa. It has an area of
338km2 and a population of 147, 957 at the 2006 census (NIPOST,
2009). This geographical location is one of the local governments in Ibadan
municipal under the Ibadan/Ibarapa agricultural zones,
with Akinyele, Egbeda, OnaAra, Ibarapa north, Ibarapa central and Ibarapa east,
(Adeola and Ayoade, 2009)
under the same zone. The vegetation is a derived Savannah zone and a low land
rain-forest area. The zone experience both wet and dry season annually. The
main occupation of the inhabitants is farming, arable crops cultivating in the
zone include Maize, melon, soy-bean, cassava, cowpea, and yam, vegetables while
tree crops are cocoa, oil palm and cashew, (Adeola
and Ayoade, 2009) and they also engaged in trading
and few others are in the civil service.
3.2. Sampling
Technique:A Multi Stage Sampling technique was used which involves random selection
of 5 wards out of 14 wards based on which of the villages that major
most in Maize production. Thirty (30)
Maize farmers’ each from the 5 wards were randomly chosen. Sample sizes
of 142 respondents out of 150 copies of questionnaire administered were finally
recovered for the study.
3.3. Data
Collection Instrument: Data collection
from the respondents was mainly through structured questionnaire. Information
such as socio economic characteristics of the farmers, expenditure, information
about their farm operation like farm size, average yield, ownership of the
land, access to extension services, quantity of fertilizer used, quantity of
Maize seed planted, Membership of cooperative associations amongst others were
asked.
3.4. Methods
of Data Analysis
Foster-Greer-Thorbecke's (FGT) Poverty Index 1984 : According to Omonona 2009, there are a lot of methods for aggregating
the poverty of a group; this study used the Foster-Greer-Thorbecke's
(FGT) weighted poverty index, among other things, to its additive
decomposability into sub-groups. This FGT weighted poverty measure, otherwise
called the Pα measure, was used to obtain the incidence, depth and
severity of poverty by sex, age, marital status, household size and education.
The FGT measure for the ith subgroup (Pαi) is
given below;
Pαi
=
……….. (1)
α
= 0, P0 =
=
Poverty incidence or headcount………..(2)
α
= 1, P1 =
Poverty gap or depth…………………….
(3)
α
= 2, P2 =
Poverty severity…………………………
(4)
Where;
n = number of
maize farmers
q = the number
of poor maize farmers
z = poverty
line
y = the per
capita expenditure (PCE) of the ith household and
α =
degree of poverty aversion.
In
this study, total per capita expenditure was used as a measure of the standard
of living of the farmers. Total expenditure is the sum of cash expenditure on
consumption of goods and services, the value of own production of goods and
services, transfers and remittances received and goods received on barter
transactions. Though consumption expenditure as a proxy for poverty measurement
may not fully express the households’ command over goods and services, it is
however the most widely used in determining poverty line particularly because
while income reflects more of current well-being, consumption is a better
reflection of the long term economic status. It also makes measurement easier
in households where there is a considerable level of own produced goods and
services as well as free commodities.
Poverty
line is the value of income or consumption expenditure necessary for a minimum
standard of living. The 2/3 mean per capita
expenditure was referred to as the moderate poverty line while its 1/3 is
referred to as the core poverty line. This study made use of moderate poverty
line because it closely approximates the $1/day international poverty line in
the 2004 NLSS and also in the1996 NCS as reported by the NBS (2007). Farmers
were therefore categorized as poor and non-poor.
Per
capital expenditure =
………….. (5)
Mean per capital
household expenditure =
…………… (6)
Any
household whose expenditure falls below the moderate poverty line (2/3 mean per
capita household expenditure) is regarded as being poor while those above it
are regarded as non-poor.
Probit Model: A Probit model is a type of regression where the
dependent variable can only
take two values. A Probit model is
a popular specification for an ordinal or a binary response
model. This model was used to examine the relationship between
maize farmers’ productivity and their poverty status.
(7)
(0 or 1) (8)
= poverty status (0= non poor household, 1 otherwise)
= coefficients of explanatory variables.
Where X1
– X12 are specified as below
X1
= age of farmer (years)
X2
= sex of farmer (0 for female, 1 if otherwise)
X3=
farmer’s education (0 for non-formal, 1 if otherwise)
X4=
marital status of farmer (0 for Single, 1 if otherwise)
X5
= household size of the farmer
X6
= farm size in hectares
X7
= farming experience (0 for yes, 1 if otherwise)
X8
= land ownership (0 for owned, 1 if otherwise)
X9
= access to improved technology (0 for yes, 1 if otherwise)
X10
= farmer’s association (0 for yes, 1 if otherwise)
X11
= maize output per kg
X12
= expenditure in Naira
4.0. RESULTS
AND DISCUSSION
4.1. Socio-economic
Characteristics of the Respondents
Table 1 below shows the socio-economic
characteristics of the respondents. About 56.1% of the farmers fall between age
range 41-60years which has the highest percentage while those in the age range
21-40years had the least percentage of 16.9% which means that the age range
between 41-60years is the dominant age of farmers in the study area. The mean
age of all the respondents was 52 years, minimum 25years and maximum 80years,
these implies that majority of these farmers are still in their active years
and productive age. The gender distribution shows that 68.3% of the farmers
were male while 31.7% of the farmers were females. It shows that majority of
the farmers are men and shows that female participation is becoming significant
in farming. The distribution of the households by marital status shows that
4.9% of the respondents were single, while the remaining 95.1% were married out
of which 86.6% were married. The mean value of the household size is
approximately 7, while the highest number is 16 and the lowest is 1 member. The
education distribution of the respondents shows that 21.1% of the respondents
had no formal educational while only 3.5% had post -secondary education, while
79.9% of the respondents have one of primary, secondary and tertiary education.
This shows that respondents in the study are not illiterate,
the high education level can increase the productivity of the farmers because
it has been shown that farmers with high education level will be able to adopt
new technologies in production. The farming experience revealed that about
62.6% of the respondents have experience of 1-20years, 27.5% with 21-40years
experience while only 9.9% of the farmers have experience of about 41years and
above. This shows that farmers in the study area are very experienced in their
production and can make many observations in their productivity level. The farm size distribution of the respondents
showed that 48.2% of the respondents cultivated less than 1 hectare while the
remaining 51.8% cultivated above 1 hectare of farmland. The average farmland
cultivated is approximately 1.2 hectares (3 acres). The small farm size
cultivated can result in the yield/output being small thereby affecting the
level of productivity and also their income.On land ownership, 76%
of the respondents own the land used for farming while 23.9% pay for the land
used in farming. This can also have effect on their productivity level as cost
is incurred in paying for land rents, which could have been spent on their
farming activity. Land owners can also use their lands as collateral for credit
facilities. About 80.3% of the respondents have farming activities as their
primary occupation, 7% are into trading, 5.6% are civil servant while 7% are
also artisans. Also, it was revealed that 62% of the respondents belong to one
farmer’s association while 38% of the respondents do not belong to any farmer’s
association. One of the benefits of belonging to farmer’s association is that
information on improved technology is easily disseminated among them. It could
also serve as a forum where farmers borrow money.
Table 1:
Socio-economic characteristics of the respondents
|
Gender |
Frequency |
Percentage
(%) |
|||
|
Female Male Age 21-40 41-60 Above 60 Marital Status Single Married Divorced Separated Widowed Household Size 1-6 7-12 13 and above Educational Status No formal Education Primary Secondary Tertiary Farming Experience 1-20 21-40 41 and above Farm Size Less than 1 hectare Less than 2 hectare Less than 3 hectare Less than 4 hectare Less than 5 hectare Land Ownership Personal land Hired or leasehold Primary Occupation Farming Trading Civil servant Artisan Membership of
Association Yes No Total |
45 97 24 80 38 07 123 03 01 08 74 61 07 30 40 67 05 89 39 14 69 39 23 06 05 108 34 114 10 08 10 88 54 142 |
31.7 68.3 16.9 56.1 27.0 4.9 86.6 2.1 0.7 5.6 52.1 42.9 5.0 21.1 28.2 47.2 3.5 62.6 27.5 9.9 48.2 27.7 16.3 4.3 3.5 76.1 23.9 80.3 7.0 5.6 7.0 62.0 38.0 100 |
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4.2.
Poverty Line Estimation: Foster-Greer-Thorbecke
(FGT) Model was used to determine the poverty status of maize farmers’ in the
study area. A poverty line was constructed, using two-third of the mean per
adult equivalent expenditure, below which a household was classified as being
poor and above which a household was classified as being non-poor. This
weighted measure of poverty was used to determine the poverty line as ₦20,659.70
for a year. This means that any farming household that spends below
₦20,659.70 yearly is regarded as being poor while any farming household
that spends exactly or more than ₦20,659.70 yearly is regarded as not
poor. Poverty Incidence, Poverty Depth or Gap and Poverty Severity: In this
study, expenditure is used as a proxy to income because consumption is a better
reflection of the long term economic status while income reflects more of
current well-being.
Poverty incidence (Pα= 0) is
0.352113
Poverty depth or gap (Pα = 1)
is 0.161081
Poverty Severity (Pα = 2) is
0.109416
The data above shows
that 35.21% of the maize farmers are poor, which means this percentage of the
respondents are below the poverty line (₦20,659.70). Measuring the
proportion of household that are not poor, a 64.79%, an over average of the
respondents are not poor. The Poverty depth or gap explains that the gap
between the poor farmer and the poverty line is 0.161081 and it will take the
poor maize farmer (16.11% x ₦20659.70) the amount of ₦3,327.89 to cover up or make up for the poverty gap.
Poverty severity index measures how far away or the distance of each poor
farmer is from the poverty line and this was estimated to be 10.94%.
4.4.
Poverty Status Profile among Household by Socio economic Characteristics.
The
result reveals that incidence of poverty appear higher in male headed
households with value of 0.360825 while depth and severity of poverty appear
higher with values 0.169076 and 0.119470 respectively in female headed households.
i.e.36.08% of the male headed households are poor but are not too far away from
the poverty line despite the fact they have higher incidence than the female
headed households. This means that male headed households are more vulnerable
to poverty than the female headed household, while the female headed households
have higher poverty gap and poverty severity. This can be explained that the
female headed households are more far away to the poverty line despite the fact
that the male headed households are more than they are in terms of head count.
The vulnerability of the male headed household to poverty may partly be as a
result of lack of access to or low productive resources, education, credit, and
decision making forum (Oniango and Makudi, 2002) and also because in most parts of rural
Nigeria, we have female- headed households always involved in many other
occupations besides farming, including trading. They also have a higher mean
per capita expenditure than their male counterparts because they always have a
smaller household size. They are always monogamous as compared with so many
male- headed households that are polygamous, which is synonymous with large
family size. Even when these female-headed households are divorced or widowed
from a polygamous household, such new female heads have the responsibility of
taking care of their own immediate family, which are normally small (Omonona 2009).
The
age categorization of vulnerability to poverty indicates that 31–40 farmers’
age range has the highest proportion of poverty incidence 0.500000 while
households headed by persons aged 51–60 have the smallest proportion of poverty
incidence 0.228571. The age category 41-50 has the highest poverty gap 0.224862
and it will need to mobilize ₦4,648.43 (0.225 *₦20659.70-poverty
line) to be able to get out of poverty. Also this category is the most age
category farther away to the poverty line with the value 0.175960 that is,
poverty severity. About the marital status of the respondent, it was discovered
that the separated respondents (from their spouses) has the highest percentage
of poverty incidence out of those respondents that are single, married,
divorced and widowed. The divorced
farmers category has lowest poverty incidence, the reason may be adduced to the
fact that they do not have a complete family set, children may not be living
together under the same roof and this in turn reduce the number of people being
fed and catered for. This group also may not have dependant
that are not contributing to the family income. The gap between the farmers
that are separated from their spouses and the poverty line is 3.66% and they
will need (36.6% * ₦20,659.70-poverty line) ₦7,561.45 to cover up
for the poverty, also this group is 0.133894 farther away to the poverty line. The
study also reveals that increase in household size results in increased poverty
situation among households in the study area with the incidence, gap and
severity highest with values 0.620638, 1.000000 and 0.125293 respectively for
household with 16 or more members. The situation might be worse still if the
increase in household size translates into more dependants
who do not contribute to the household income. Ability of household members to
work and earn income is critical to poverty reduction in the study area.
Results
from the study shows that farmers with tertiary education in the study area are
not poor. Although it appears that incidence of poverty is higher among
households whose head had primary school education, this does not down play the
importance of education in poverty reduction. Evidence abounds on the positive
impact of education on poverty reduction. Access to education does result in
increase in the stock of human capital, and in turn labour
productivity and wages which in turn results in reduction of poverty in the
households. The role of capacity building and human capital development in
eradicating poverty cannot be over emphasized. Education equips the people with
information and new technologies that are necessary for enhancing economic
activities (Ruel et al., 1998; Oniang’o and Makudi, 2002.
Table 2: Poverty Profile Distribution of
Respondents
|
Socio
economic characteristics |
Poverty
Incidence (P0) |
Poverty
gap (P1) |
Poverty
Severity (P2) |
|
Sex |
|
|
|
|
Male Female |
0.360825 0.333333 |
0.157372 0.169076 |
0.104751 0.119470 |
|
Age |
|
|
|
|
21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 Above 60 |
0.428571 0.500000 0.466667 0.228571 0.263158 |
0.202458 0.205745 0.224862 0.099023 0.120521 |
0.147293 0.120183 0.175960 0.043476 0.082715 |
|
Marital Status |
|
|
|
|
Single Married Divorced Widowed Separated |
0.285714 0.373984 0.000000 0.125000 1.000000 |
0.092193 0.174570 0.000000 0.048765 0.365915 |
0.029953 0.122287 0.000000 0.019024 0.133894 |
|
Household Size |
|
|
|
|
1-3 4-6 7-9 10-12 13-15 16 and
above |
0.044479 0.100080 0.251630 0.169888 0.446535 0.620638 |
0.052632 0.254545 0.485714 0.500000 0.666667 1.000000 |
0.037590 0.058684 0.198951 0.086600 0.332522 0.385192 |
|
Education |
|
|
|
|
Non –
formal Primary Secondary Tertiary |
0.266667 0.475000 0.343284 0.000000 |
0.141803 0.229928 0.140631 0.000000 |
0.098836 0.165591 0.089676 0.000000 |
4.5. Relationship between Farmers’
Productivity and their Poverty Status
Probit regression analysis
was used to determine the relationship between farmers’ productivity and their
poverty status in the study area. The result of the probit
regression analysis shows that the coefficients of household size and
expenditure were statistically significant at 1% (p<0.01), with positive and
negative coefficients respectively. This means that an increase in household
expenditure will reduce the probability of being poor. It can be further
explained that when a famer spends more money on basic and social amenities
than before, it is an indication that those things are now affordable for him
and therefore improving on his poverty status.
The
coefficients of age, sex, marital status and improved technology were
statistically significant at 10% (p<0.1), with negative coefficients on age
and improved technology, while that of sex and marital status were positive.
these implies that an increase in age of farmers will reduce the probability of
being poor because older farmers tend to be more efficient in maize production
as a result of increased number of years in terms of experience . Also, an
increase in male headed household will increase the probability of being poor
than a household headed by female. Access to improved technology was found to
be statistically significant at 10% level and has a negative coefficient, this
implies that as farmers have more access to improved technology like improved
or hybrid seeds, agrochemicals, fertilizers, tractorization,
information from extension personnel and other forms of improved technology,
their probability of being poor reduces; information, a major key to
development and growth. The pseudo R2 of 55.70% explains the
percentage of how the explanatory variables explained the dependent variables.
Six of the specified variables used in the model were statistically significant
at various levels. They include age, sex, marital status, household size,
access to improved technology and expenditure.
Table
3. Probit
Regression Analysis of Poverty Status Determinants among Farmers
|
Explanatory
Variables |
Coefficients |
Standard
Error |
|
P>/z/ |
|
Age Sex Education Marital status Household size Farm size Farming experience Land ownership Improved technology Farmer’s association Maize output Expenditure Constant |
-0.4162 0.8307 -0.2966 0.5557 1.0601 0.0151 0.0320 -0.3252 -1.0279 -0.0165 -0.0000 -1.4112 0.3154 |
0.1791 0.4125 0.2427 0.2545 0.2164 0.1768 0.1696 0.4295 0.5479 0.3380 0.0000 0.2455 0.7159 |
|
0.020* 0.044* 0.222 0.029* 0.000*** 0.932 0.851 0.449 0.061* 0.961 0.757 0.000*** 0.660 |
Source:
Field Survey, 2013 *, ** and *** Sig. at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively. R2 = 0.5570,
5.0.
SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS
This study has provided empirical information
on poverty analysis of maize farmers in Lagelu local
government area, Ogun State, Nigeria. The
socio-economic distribution of the households shows that there are more male
maize farmers than female, more married household, large household sizes, high
education levels (primary, secondary and tertiary), high farming experience,
high membership association participation and the primary occupation of the
farmers are mainly farming. The probit regression
analysis showed that age, household’s expenditures, sex (gender of the
farmers), marital status, household’s size and improved technology were the
factors determining the poverty level of maize farmers in the study area. The
FGT poverty index showed that poverty incidence (
=0, 35.2%), poverty depth or gap (
=1, 16.1%) and poverty severity (
=2, 10.9) respectively.The
study therefore recommended that farmers in the study area should try as much
as possible to adopt birth control methods to control the large household
sizes, diversification to other income generating activities to increase the
expenditure. Extension agents should be sent out from time to time to enlighten
the farmers on the need for adoption of modern techniques of maize production
so as to increase their productivity and encourage more youth participation in farming
activities among others.
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Cite
this Article: Ibitola OR; Fasakin IJ; Popoola
OO; Olajide OO (2019). Poverty Analysis of Maize
Farming Households in Oyo State, Nigeria. Greener Journal of Agricultural
Sciences 9(2): 199-207, http://doi.org/10.15580/GJAS.2019.2.040219063. |